2026 Season Now Live

MLB Pitcher
Strikeout Distributions
and Projections

See the full strikeout distribution, not just the line.

KSplit is a lineup-driven strikeout analytics tool built from pitcher tendencies, hitter handedness splits, and expected workload. Every projection is grounded in probability and structure so you can understand risk and upside before the game starts.

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2025 Backtesting Snapshot
500+
Historical projections logged
0.81
Median CRPS across all projections
42%
High Tail-Driven profiles hitting +2 outcomes
100%
Of projections archived and publicly logged
The Platform
01 · Design

Data Driven by Design

Each projection begins at the plate appearance level. Pitcher strikeout tendencies, opponent profiles, and expected batters faced combine into one focused model built specifically for the strikeout market.

02 · Daily

Built for Today's Slate

Distributions update daily using confirmed lineups, handedness matchups, and current workload expectations so every projection reflects the matchup in front of you.

03 · Logged

Logged, Not Claimed

Every projection is stored alongside outcomes and error metrics. Performance is evaluated across full distributions instead of selective screenshots or isolated results.

The Focus

Why Strikeouts?

Strikeouts occur one plate appearance at a time and reset with every batter. Because they are less dependent on team defense, they can be modeled structurally using probabilities rather than broad assumptions. That makes the strikeout market one of the most analytically tractable outcomes in baseball, and the one KSplit is built entirely around.

Ready to explore the data?

Create a free account to browse historical strikeout projections and archived results. Upgrade anytime to unlock live slates, probability tables, full distributions, and advanced analytics built for decision making.

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KSplit is an analytics platform and not a betting service.All projections are informational and intended for educational purposes only.Built by an independent analyst. Updated daily. Results logged publicly.